Barring a miracle, LeBron James will not be able to overtake
Michael Jordan as the greatest NBA player of all time. What Jordan did for the
game of basketball was something any player—present or future—will be
hard-pressed to match.
In the words of Magic
Johnson: “There’s Michael Jordan and then there is the rest of us.”
If he can manage to win two or three more MVP awards and five
more Finals MVP awards, then maybe it will be reasonable. But for the sake of
argument and the fact that is nearly impossible unless the Miami Heat pull out
a three-peat and then some, the more realistic throne for LeBron James is right
below Michael Jordan.
He has a lot of work still to do, but at the pace he is
going, it is more than possible.
First, let’s qualify who is in the discussion for the number
two slot. ESPN
columnist Bill Simmons ranks Bill Russell as number two but Magic Johnson,
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and Wilt Chamberlain are the other players oft placed right
below MJ.
Statistics are the best place to start because unless you
watched Bill Russell play in the 50s and 60s, you don’t have a true grasp of how
he impacted the game. Looking at the numbers he and other greats put up and
awards that he won is the best place to analyze.
Numbers may not give you the entire story considering the different eras of basketball, but they
don’t lie.
With that in mind, here is a comparison of the five players
(including James) in the running for the No. 2 slot.
L. James
|
M. Johnson
|
K. Abdul-Jabbar
|
W. Chamberlain
|
B. Russell
|
|
Points
|
27.6
|
19.5
|
24.6
|
30.1
|
15.1
|
Rebounds
|
7.2
|
7.2
|
11.2
|
22.9
|
22.5
|
Assists
|
6.9
|
11.2
|
3.5
|
4.4
|
4.3
|
Steals
|
1.7
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
FG %
|
.483
|
.520
|
.559
|
.540
|
.440
|
Blocks
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
2.5
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
Years played
|
9
|
13
|
20
|
14
|
13
|
MVP
|
3
|
3
|
6
|
4
|
5
|
Finals MVP
|
1
|
3
|
2
|
1
|
N/A
|
All statistics are per
game unless otherwise noted. All awards are career totals.
Finals MVPs are a greater indicator of personal success on
the NBA’s biggest stage, which is why I chose that as opposed to championship
wins. The only player who is at a disadvantage with this measurement is Bill
Russell, but he would have won many Finals MVP awards had the award been around
when he played.
He was the best player on a team that won 11
championships—and the Finals MVP trophy is named after him.
Looking at the stats, a couple categories jump out
immediately: Chamberlain and Russell posted incredible rebounding numbers,
Russell shot a relatively low FG percentage and every player except LeBron
averaged some type of a double-double over their career.
So what does James have to do to overtake each as the
(second) greatest of all time?
With regards to Magic, one or two more of both regular
season MVP and Finals MVP would do it. His facilitating ability was
second-to-none but even though Magic leads
the NBA all-time in assists per game, scoring is a more treasured ability in a
basketball player and the greatest player of all-time only had 5.3 assists per
game.
![]() |
LeBron post-game winner vs. the Magic |
Looking at Kareem, again the main difference is awards.
Although Kareem has a higher field goal percentage, it is a wash because big
men shoot a higher percentage (which makes LeBron’s 48 percent even better
considering he is a small forward).
If LeBron wins two or three more of both regular season MVP
and Finals MVP then he will have a strong case for being better than Kareem. He
will need to play roughly 15 strong seasons and James probably has about a
decade left of basketball in him.
And of course, the longer LeBron plays the better chance he
has of accumulating said awards.
Wilt Chamberlain and Bill Russell are two players that
statistics aren’t as satisfactory in a complete comparison of greatness. They
played in a different era, and the NBA wasn’t as strong of a league as it has
become.
Bill Russell may have won 11 championships in the 60s but he
would not have won that many in today’s game.
So how do you compare the three? James currently has the
advantage in points and assists but is nowhere near Wilt and Bill in rebounds.
Again, I think awards is a good place to turn to because it offers analysis of how
the player compares to the league he was in.
![]() |
The famous "Decision." |
Although Bill’s likely Finals MVP awards would blow the
field out of the water, his five MVP awards are a good standard for comparison.
Like the comparison to Kareem, two or three more of each the MVP award and
Finals MVP award would give LeBron a very strong argument for No. 2 G.O.A.T.
As for what LeBron has done for the game, it
is already up there with the greatest of all time. Sports
Illustrated’s Michael Rosenberg said it best: LeBron James is the most
gifted player in NBA history.
And as the NBA is a much stronger league, consistent distinction
today is worth more as an individual than it was 50 years ago. I firmly believe
that LeBron would succeed at least as much as Russell and Chamberlain did in
the 50s and 60s and those two big men would have less success in today’s
game—particularly Bill Russell, who stands 6’9” tall and played center.
Two or three more of each the MVP award and Finals MVP award
in conjunction with sustained excellence in PRA (points, rebounds and assists)
would be enough for LeBron to sit next to Jordan.
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